By Jason Bush
Want to know the distance from Moscow to St. Petersburg, the best place in town for borscht, or the weather in Novosibirsk? In most of the world you might Google the answer. But a Russian would more likely "Yandex" it.
Few outside of Russia have heard of the Yandex search engine, but that may soon change. Yandex has 44 percent of the Russian market -- 10 points ahead of Google -- and is now the No. 2 search outfit in Europe, according to researcher comScore. Yandex is expected to list its shares on Nasdaq this fall, fetching as much as $2 billion. That would be Russia's largest-ever initial public offering in tech, valuing the company at around $5 billion. Although Yandex declined to comment about the listing, analysts and investors are expecting a blockbuster. "This IPO should be very popular," especially among investors eager to tap into Russia's Internet market, says Konstantin Belov, an analyst at Uralsib, a Moscow bank.
It's a market that promises serious growth. Although just a quarter of Russians are online, high-speed connections are starting to reach smaller cities. Broadband penetration, currently 10 percent, is forecast to triple by 2010. Google expects the market for search-related ads in Russia to rise from $200 million last year to $1 billion by 2010.
When they didn't bite, Volozh and his partners in 2000 set up their own company. Thanks to the high quality of its search, Yandex quickly unseated Rambler, the Russian leader at the time. Since then, Yandex's revenues -- mostly ad sales -- have doubled each year, reaching $167 million in 2007. "Yandex concentrated on search and developed a really good engine," says Vladimir Dolgov, head of Google Russia.
Beefing up, Fighting back
Google, though, also has a really good engine, and it's making a big push in Russia. The US giant opened its first office in the country in 2006 and has since raised its share from 5 percent to more than a third, comScore says. Its popularity has been helped by improved search algorithms, adapted to the language, and new Russia-oriented versions of international services such as YouTube and Google Maps.
Even if Yandex loses more share to Google, it has significant advantages as a local player. China and Korea both have strong domestic search companies that manage to hold their own against the global giants by using their greater understanding of their home markets. "I'm optimistic about Yandex," says Anton Vorykhalov, an analyst at Moscow consultancy IKS. "Google may have a decent market share, but there will always be a leading place for big national players."
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