Gathering Storm
IMF Urges Europe to Develop Credit Crisis Strategy
The credit crisis has reached Europe, but the continent has no unified strategy to deal with the danger. International Monetary Fund chief Dominique Strauss-Kahn says its time for Europe to develop a plan -- and for the US to pass a bailout package.
It is time for Europe to develop a contingency plan to protect its economy should the growing finance crisis worsen, Dominique Strauss-Kahn, head of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), warned in an interview with Reuters on Tuesday. Not only that, but the US Congress needs to pull together to pass a significant bailout plan, he said.
DDP
Frankfurt and other European finance capitals may be at risk.
"Developing a contingency plan does not mean it's announcing a lot of trouble coming," he told Reuters. "But (Europeans) are not totally immune, and so they need to organize. At the European level this is totally needed."
Strauss-Kahn, who took over the reins of the IMF last November, pointed out that, because there is no regulator that can act across Europe, reacting to a finance crisis should it worsen here is more difficult. "We're right at the moment where action is needed" to develop a coordinated response, he said.
The IMF warning comes at a time when a number of countries in Europe are taking action to prevent the collapse of banks hit hard by the rapidly decreasing availability of short-term credit and the rising interest rates on interbank loans. Countries from Iceland to Germany to the Benelux countries have taken over billions of euros worth of bad loans from wobbling banks. Britain and France have also been hit.
Ireland on Tuesday took the unprecedented step of guaranteeing all bank deposits in the country after rumors began circulating that wealthy depositors had begun removing their money from Irish banks. The move, potentially worth €400 billion ($566 billion) in a worst-case scenario, immediately shored up confidence in Irish banking and led to a recovery of bank stocks after they had plunged on Monday.
So far, though, Europe's response has been on a nation-by-nation basis and the European Union has yet to develop an all-encompassing strategy. French President Nicolas Sarkozy, the current holder of the rotating EU presidency, has said he would like to discuss an EU-wide approach at a summit scheduled for the middle of October.
Many in Europe had long hoped that the US credit crisis would remain a primarily American problem. But as the crisis accelerated in September, EU countries have proven susceptible as well, with credit drying up across the industrialized world. Europe on Monday and Tuesday blasted the United States for its failure to pass the $700 billion bailout plan put together by the administration of President George W. Bush. US Congressional leaders spent Tuesday tinkering with the plan in an effort to make it more palatable to those who rejected the original bill. A new Senate vote is scheduled for Wednesday.
In his interview with Reuters, Strauss-Kahn voiced disappointment that the bailout plan was not passed on Monday. "A non-perfect plan is better than no plan at all," he said.
Strauss-Kahn has also recently reiterated his willingness to transform the IMF into a kind of international regulatory agency in an effort to create and enforce global finance standards. "We can have national or regional authorities, such as the European Union for example, but we need a global guarantor, an institution which monitors standards," he said last Friday.
CHRONOLOGY OF THE FINANCIAL CRISIS
Two hedge funds belonging to New York investment bank Bear Stearns collapse as a result of the subprime mortgage crisis. The failure of the funds cause investor losses of some $1.8 billion.
German banks -- including IKB, Sachsen LB, WestLB and BayernLB -- are caught in the crisis. Multi-billion euro bailouts are needed to stabilize the banks' balance sheets.
Worried customers line up outside branches of the British bank Northern Rock to pull out their savings.
US financial services company Citigroup's profits collapse. From then on, one financial group after another announce billions of dollars of writedowns and high losses.
Swiss bank UBS announces writedowns of more than $18 billion for 2007 due to turbulence in US property markets. In April, the bank announces a further $19 billion in writedowns.
US Congress approves an economic stimulus package of about $150 billion.
Bear Stearns stands on the brink of collapse, leading to JP Morgan Chase acquiring the investment bank under pressure from the US Federal Reserve. The Federal Reserve assumes the risk on $30 billion in Bear Stearns investments.
Deutsche Bank announces a loss of €141 billion ($203 billion) for the first quarter -- the bank's first quarterly loss in five years.
Californian mortgage bank IndyMac collapses. US mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac fall into increasing difficulties. In Spain, real-estate and construction group Martinsa-Fadesa is forced to declare bankruptcy.
The US government takes over Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The crisis at Lehman Brothers, a US investment bank, becomes acute. Other financial institutions such as investment bank Merrill Lynch, insurance corporation AIG, and Washington Mutual -- the biggest US savings bank -- are all affected.
"Black Monday." Lehman Brothers declares bankruptcy, Merrill Lynch is purchased by Bank of America, and AIG announces it needs billions in stop-gap loans. Bank writedowns from around the world total nearly $500 billion.
News that AIG, the world's largest insurer, is threatened with insolvency creates massive instability in international financial markets. Efforts by the insurance industry to save the company founder. Finally, the Federal Reserve announces it will provide AIG with an $85 billion loan in exchange for a nearly 80 percent stake in the troubled giant.
Scottish mortgage bank Halifax Bank of Scotland (HBOS) captures worldwide attention with more bad news. The stricken bank desperately seeks investors. Bank of Scotland enters talks with Lloyd's, according to the BBC.
News breaks that the state-owned German development bank KfW transferred €300 million ($426 million) to Lehman Brothers in New York just prior the investment bank's collapsed. More than half of the sum is lost.
US Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson announces the planned creation of a $700 billion rescue package to buy bad credit from failing banks. After a full weekend of negotiations in Washington, the fate of the bill is to be decided within a week.
News of the possible $700 billion bailout calms the financial markets only temporarily. Before long the price of oil rises more than $25 in just a few hours -- the highest absolute hike in one day since oil prices began to be monitored. Experts see this as a reason to be skeptical of the bailout. The dollar also loses considerable value.
The price of crude oil eases during trading on the Asian markets. Traders attribute the price decrease to investors cashing in on profits.
Powerful US investor Warren Buffett makes headlines with a hefty investment in Goldman Sachs. Analysts hail the legendary financial strategist as a savior.
A summit in the White House to discuss the rescue package falters. A few hours later, bank supervisors announce that US savings bank Washington Mutual is broke.
It looks as though both Democrats and Republicans in the US Congress would support the $700 billion bailout plan for needy banks.
The financial crisis reached new heights in Europe. German mortgage bank Hypo Real Estate is bailed out with €35 billion ($50 billion). British mortgage lender Bradford & Bingley and Belgian-Dutch Hypo Real Estate Holding AG are both bailed out with sums in the billions of euros. US representatives reject the $700 billion bailout package, and stock markets collapse around the world.
cgh -- with wire reports
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