Opinion Stop Talking about NATO Membership for Ukraine

The president of Ukraine is talking up the idea of a national referendum to join NATO, an idea that the military alliance's chief has openly supported. But such a debate is dangerous -- because it divides member states and provides Putin with powerful ammunition.

NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg (third from left) speaks at the start of a meeting of NATO ministers of foreign affairs on Tuesday.

NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg (third from left) speaks at the start of a meeting of NATO ministers of foreign affairs on Tuesday.

A Commentary by in Brussels

Just to be sure there is no misunderstanding: Vladimir Putin bears primarily responsibility for the new Cold War between the West and Russia. These days, you have to make that clear before criticizing Western policies so as not to be shoved into the pro-Putin camp.

When NATO foreign ministers meet in Brussels today, the question of Ukraine's possible future membership in the alliance is not on the agenda. It will, however, overshadow the meeting -- and that is the fault of two politicians.

During an interview with German public broadcaster ZDF on Sunday night, Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko said he would like to hold a referendum on NATO membership at some point in the future. And new NATO General Secretary Jens Stoltenberg apparently had nothing better to do than to offer Poroshenko his verbal support and to reiterate the right of every sovereign nation in Europe to apply for NATO membership. As if that weren't enough, Stoltenberg added in comments directed at Moscow that "no third country outside NATO can veto" its enlargement.

Playing with Fire

In the current tense environment, open speculation about possible Ukrainian membership in NATO is akin to playing with fire. German Chancellor Angela Merkel proposed the former Norwegian prime minister as NATO chief because he is considered to be a far more level-headed politician than predecessor Anders Fogh Rasmussen. But since he took the helm, differences between the two have been difficult to identify. Hawkish statements made by NATO's top military commander, Philip Breedlove, haven't done much to ease the situation either.

Why is it even necessary for NATO officers to comment so frequently about Ukraine? Since the outbreak of the crisis, the alliance has expressed the opinion that the conflict cannot be resolved through military means. If that's true, then wouldn't it be better if Stoltenberg, Breedlove and company kept quiet?

Doing anything else is advantageous to Putin while at the same time sowing division in Europe. It makes it easy for the Russian president to blather about the supposed expansionist policies of the West. When it comes to the EU, of course, Putin is contradicting himself. He once said: "If the EU accepts Ukraine as a member, Russia, I think, would welcome this." Last year, he suddenly and surprisingly changed course.

But Putin has always seen NATO membership for Ukraine as a red line. Even if NATO is focused on defense, it is still a military alliance. It can only be powerful, however, when all 28 member states share the same position. And herein lies the problem: Only a small minority -- comprised primarily of the Baltic states and Poland -- currently support Ukrainian accession to the alliance. All others adhere to the principle that each accession should not only be beneficial to the new member, but also to the community as a whole. It's difficult to see at the moment how Ukraine might benefit NATO.

In that sense, there is only one right answer in response to Poroshenko's musings. It's the one formulated by German Foreign Minister Frank-Walter Steinmeier. "I see a partner relationship between Ukraine and NATO, but not membership," the foreign minister told SPIEGEL ONLINE last week.

Or, to put it more simply, the question of Ukrainian membership isn't even on the agenda.


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malcolm.webster 12/02/2014
1. NATO Membership for Ukraine
With 5 million illegal workers in Europe from Ukraine should first look to themselves before making requests of Europe, They tried to force the West to fight on their behalf as Ukrainians have always done, Ukraine must first learn to stand on their own feet and learn a moral code which they have been lacking in as so many have total contempt for the laws of any country.
edwards.mikej 12/02/2014
The very first sentence of this article is written as if it as true as sunrise. The conflict in Ukraine is NOT in any way the fault of Putin or Russia. I guess the recordings of senior US diplomats discussing who they would install as leader of Ukraine after the coup they orchestrated against - THE DEMOCRATICALLY ELECTED - government of Ukraine didn't make it to Germany. That coup and everything which has followed was an aggressive and belligerent attempt to take the Baltic ports away from Russia and further encircle and diminish Russian power. The conflict in Ukraine is caused by the determination of the US Neoliberal Empire to dominate every sq. meter of the earth. If millions die as a result so be it.
cancze 12/02/2014
Let the cool heads prevail. Some war hawks (Rasmussen among them) keep forgetting that NATO was originally created as a defensive military organization. In my opinion, it should have been dissolved after the collapse of S.U. Regrettably, it wasn't and it seems that it has actually become more aggressive. NATO brass should indeed stop playing with fire before this acrimony reaches boiling point.
spon-facebook-1325787534 12/02/2014
4. Putin's kindergarten antics
There seems to be a view that if you have a naughty child like Putin, you should just watch while he throws his toys out of the playpen. It may be no bad thing to have another kid like Jens Stoltenberg throw a wobbly as well to show that there is no monopoly on misbehaving.
nsmith 12/02/2014
Sorry. I just don't see the problem here, besides "more talk" about "more talk". The Ukraine (aside from the usurped eastern territories) has for the most part positioned itself to join the European community, and subsequently NATO. As a sovereign nation, this is clearly its right to do, regardless of what other external entities have to say about it. And worrying about whether Mr. Putin will see this as "crossing a red line" is entirely laughable, as he has already crossed so many...starting with Crimea.
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